supreme_vacancy

supreme_vacancy, a MATLAB code which estimates the probablity that, during a 4 year term, at least one of the Supreme Court justices will die, creating a vacancy. A simple statistical model is used to create the probability of a person of given age and sex dying within a period of years.

Licensing:

The information on this web page is distributed under the MIT license.

Languages:

supreme_vacancy is available in a MATLAB version.

Related Data and Programs:

supreme_vacancy_test

mortality, a dataset directory which lists mortality information for a single year, the age at death, number of deaths, male deaths and females deaths, for a total of 2,423,509 deaths, including 1,203,812 males and 1,219,697 females, between the ages of 0 and 114.

mortality, a MATLAB code which processes some sample mortality data.

will_you_be_alive, a MATLAB code which carries out the probability simulations described in 'Will You Be Alive 10 Years From Now?', by Paul Nahin;

Source Code:

• die_this_span.m, estimates the probability that a judge, currently alive, will die within a given span of years.
• die_this_year.m, estimates the probability that a person of given age and sex will die within one year.
• judge_age.m, returns the current age of a given judge.
• judge_birthday.m, returns the birthday of a given judge.
• judge_name.m, returns the first and last name of a given judge.
• judge_sex.m, returns the sex of a given judge.
• month_to_month_name.m, returns the full name of a month, given its index between 1 and 12.
• month_to_month_name3.m, returns the 3-letter abbreviation of a month, given its index between 1 and 12.
• vacancy_this_span.m, estimates the probability that there will be at least one judicial vacancy within a given span of years.